VIENNA (AP) 鈥 European far-right and nationalist parties are celebrating the hard-right Freedom Party鈥檚 win in Austria鈥檚 election. Even though it鈥檚 uncertain whether hard-line leader Herbert Kickl will be able to take his vision of a 鈥淔ortress Austria鈥 into government, the party's electoral success could nudge politics further in its direction.
Sunday's result leaves Austria鈥檚 political future uncertain, as it鈥檚 questionable how stable the next administration will be 鈥 whoever forms it, probably after long negotiations.
The Euroskeptic and pro-Russian Freedom Party won a record 29.2% of the vote, gaining 13 percentage points from the 2019 election. Kickl told cheering supporters that 鈥渨e wrote Austrian history today.鈥 But Kickl needs a coalition partner to govern, and other parties say they won't work with him.
Two mainstream parties that governed Austria for most of the time since the end of World War II were hit by voter anger about immigration and inflation and together have such a thin parliamentary majority that they would likely need a third partner to govern.
European far-right allies rejoice
The Freedom Party is part of a right-wing populist alliance in the European Parliament, . Its members welcomed the Austrian result as building on gains in other countries, including in European elections in June.
Hungarian Prime Minister hailed 鈥渁n historic victory鈥 for the Freedom Party. Geert Wilders, whose party dominates , wrote on social media network X that 鈥淲e are winning! Times are changing! Identity, sovereignty, freedom and no more illegal immigration/asylum is what tens of millions of Europeans long for!鈥 There were congratulations from French far-right leader Marine Le Pen and others too.
The Freedom Party 鈥渨ill become a role model for Le Pen and others who also want to win elections and claim leadership in their respective countries,鈥 said Paul Schmidt, secretary general of the Austrian Society for European Politics, a think tank. And the stronger the European far-right alliance gets, the more it "will be able to influence priorities on a European level, including on migration, climate and Ukraine,鈥 he said. Schmidt characterized the Freedom Party as more radical than parties such as Le Pen's 香港六合彩挂牌资料 Rally.
He predicted that mainstream parties in Austria and beyond will borrow topics from the far right even more, which could lead to a further 鈥渟hift in the public discourse."
The Freedom Party calls for an end to sanctions against Russia and criticizes Western military aid to Ukraine. Kickl has labeled European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen as a 鈥渨armonger.鈥 His party also takes a hard-line stance on immigration, calling for 鈥渞emigration of uninvited foreigners,鈥 and wants to bring back powers from the EU to Austria.
Kickl lacks allies in Austria
Kickl led the Freedom Party to its best-ever result but could also be its chief impediment to taking power.
The 55-year-old has a taste for provocation and is known for deliberately overstepping accepted boundaries. Last year, for example, he described Austrian President as a 鈥渕ummy鈥 and 鈥渟enile,鈥 shocking the political establishment.
Kickl also has appeared to support conspiracy theories, advocating the use during the COVID-19 pandemic of Ivermectin, a medicine to treat parasitic worms in animals. He has called the World Health Organization 鈥渁n instrument for enforcement of power interests.鈥
Even Chancellor Karl Nehammer's conservative Austrian People's Party, which has twice led national coalition governments with the Freedom Party and sits with it in some regional governments, considers Kickl a step too far 鈥 even a 鈥渟ecurity risk.鈥 Nehammer says that Kickl 鈥渞adicalized himself鈥 and it is 鈥渋mpossible to shape a state鈥 with him.
Kickl was a longtime campaign strategist for the Freedom Party, coining catchy and provocative anti-immigration slogans. He spent most of his political career in the background 鈥 notably as speechwriter for J枚rg Haider, who led the party to success in the 1980s and 1990s 鈥 before serving as interior minister between 2017 and 2019 in a because of a corruption scandal surrounding the Freedom Party's then-leader. He has since 2021.
The Freedom Party, founded in 1956 by former Nazis, is a long-established political force in Austria.
What will happen next?
Analysts predict that forming a government will be time-consuming and complicated.
Peter Hajek, an Austrian political analyst, said Kickl could insist on becoming Austria's next leader 鈥 and if that doesn't happen, as seems likely at present, he will go into opposition and take a comfortable 鈥渇ront-row seat鈥 watching a shaky coalition between the People's Party and the center-left Social Democrats.
Those two parties governed post-World War II Austria together for much of the time. But this time they have such a wafer-thin parliamentary majority that they may decide to bring in a third partner, probably the liberal Neos.
While such an alliance would have more seats in parliament, a 鈥渢hree-party coalition is no kindergarten,鈥 Hajek said. That has been an issue in neighboring Germany, where state-level successes for the far-right have pushed other parties into uncomfortable, argument-prone alliances in recent years.
The president traditionally functions as a discreet mediator after elections, but it's unclear what approach Van der Bellen will take. He will swear in the new government after a coalition deal is reached, something for which there is no set deadline. On Sunday night, he said he would ensure that 鈥渢he fundamental pillars of our liberal democracy will be respected.鈥
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Associated Press video journalist Philipp Jenne contributed to this report.
